Landlord Confidence Index Nick Clay 29/05/2024

Landlord Confidence Index (LCI) No.21: 2024 Q1

Page 1

2024 Q1 LCI

Page 1 - Additional commentary

In England 2024 nervousness about the Renters (Reform) Bill and other PRS reforms provided a check in the growth in confidence which had been the story during much of 2023. The LCI score for England in the first quarter of the new year eased to 38.9, down from 43.0 at the end of 2023. 

In Wales, although the post-reform bounce in confidence is over, the bounce at least has shown itself to be sustainable. In Wales confidence is now near identical to that in England – at 39.1. Four quarters ago the Wales index score (then 26.9), was at record lows. 

The quarterly change chart shows that in Inner London and the South East, confidence has fallen sharply, but in each of these regions, confidence remains well above the all-time lows.

Page 2

Page 2 - Additional commentary

Inflation continued to drive rent increases whilst the progress of the Renters Reform Bill dominates the thoughts of those reducing their portfolios. 

Whilst there was a sharp reduction in perceived demand reported by landlords, the turnaround time to relet vacant properties (sidebar) did fall (ie the proportion of landlords reporting a turnaround of four weeks or less rose). 

In terms of confidence this is something of a mixed message – perceived demand falling and turnaround time reducing. 

These mixed messages - when taken together with uncertainty about reform - may help explain why, whilst the proportion of landlords looking to either completely exit or reduce their portfolios is falling, very few landlords are being tempted into the market to expand. 

Nick Clay

Nick Clay Research Manager

Nick Clay MSc, PgDip is the lead researcher for the NRLA. He previously worked for the RLA where he introduced the Landlord Confidence Index. Nick takes responsibility for the Research Observatory's content and rigorous approach to data analysis. He is a Certified Member of the Market Research Society.

Nick was formerly a Senior Economist for a multi-national consultancy. He has expertise in business support and entrepreneurship. He has written academic research, undertaken evaluations and developed strategies for business support organisations across England & Wales.

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